Everything you need to know about our AI-powered value betting predictions
We gather live odds, team stats, xG, injuries, and news from multiple data sources every 8 hours.
Our ML ensemble processes 200+ features per match to find genuine mathematical edge.
Only predictions with 5%+ edge and 50%+ confidence pass our quality gates. 0-4 picks per day.
Every day, our ranking system selects the best value bet by computing a composite score based on:
How much value vs the market
Model certainty in prediction
Risk-adjusted return potential
Odds availability & quality
Past accuracy for this market type
Shows all upcoming value bet predictions. You can sort by:
Track your personal betting performance. Star any prediction to add it to your portfolio with a stake amount.
Return on Investment based on settled bets
Wins / (Wins + Losses), excluding void
Sum of all P/L in units
Current win/loss streak
StackPlays uses an ensemble of ML models that vote together to generate probability estimates:
Gradient boosting for structured data
Fast gradient boosting with leaf-wise growth
Handles categorical features natively
Every prediction is built from a comprehensive dataset:
We analyze four major betting markets, each with independent quality gates:
Home win, draw, or away win. Our strongest market historically.
Total goals over or under lines (1.5, 2.5, 3.5).
Spread betting with half-line and quarter-line precision.
Both teams to score Yes/No.
Every prediction must pass strict quality criteria before reaching your dashboard:
Must beat the market by at least 5%
Model must be at least 50% confident
Maximum 4 picks per day, often fewer
The difference between our predicted probability and the implied probability from the odds. If we estimate Arsenal has a 60% chance to win but the odds imply only 52%, that's an 8% edge. We only bet when we find genuine edge.
A mathematical formula that determines optimal stake size based on edge size and odds. We use a quarter-Kelly approach (conservative) with a maximum 3% stake per bet. This prevents over-exposure on any single prediction.
The gold standard metric for prediction quality. If we recommend a bet at 2.10 odds and the line closes at 1.95, we captured CLV. Consistently beating the closing line is the #1 predictor of long-term profit in sports betting.
A bet where the true probability of an outcome is higher than what the bookmaker's odds imply. It's not about picking winners — it's about finding mispriced odds. A value bet can still lose. But over hundreds of bets, the math works in your favor.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. You can and will have losing streaks. Only bet with money you can afford to lose.
StackPlays provides data-driven predictions for informational purposes. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All decisions are yours.
All our predictions are tracked and publicly verifiable. Check the Statistics page for full performance data including losing periods.